Artificial intelligence (AI) is the general-purpose technology of our time, a transformative force reshaping the global economy, national security, and society itself. For Australia, this moment represents a critical juncture. With the global economic impact from AI projected to exceed A$20 trillion by 2030, the path forward presents a stark choice: to proactively design our AI future, securing our national interests and digital autonomy, or to become a passive consumer of foreign technology. Without a cohesive national strategy, Australia risks ceding control of its most valuable data, weakening its national security posture, and facing a new form of "digital colonialism" where external entities dictate the technological and regulatory frameworks that shape our economy and public life.
The urgency to act is acute. The rapid pace of global AI development leaves little room for hesitation, and the Australian government has set a pressing timeline to deliver its National AI Plan by the end of 2025. Failure to cultivate a robust domestic capability would have profound and lasting consequences, placing the nation at a significant strategic and economic disadvantage.
"If Australia were to fail to grow its sovereign AI capability—and instead relied on purchasing technology created abroad—it risks putting our industries at a competitive disadvantage and ceding control of our technology to foreign commercial and national interests."
— Australian Institute for Machine Learning (AIML)
The foundational challenge, therefore, is to define what AI sovereignty means in the Australian context. This requires a shared understanding that can guide coherent policy, prioritise investment, and rally a national effort toward a common goal.
Establishing a clear, shared definition of AI sovereignty is a strategic priority. The term is "often invoked but rarely defined," meaning different things to different stakeholders, from data ownership to infrastructure control. This ambiguity makes it challenging to prioritise investment or set a coherent national strategy. To move forward, Australia requires an authoritative Sovereign AI Framework that provides clarity and a common language for policymakers, industry, and researchers.
Grounded in national consultations and expert analysis, AI sovereignty for Australia should be understood as a multi-faceted concept that encompasses a "full stack view" of the entire AI ecosystem. This holistic framework includes:
This vision of sovereignty is not about isolationism but about achieving a strategic balance between control and opportunity. Leaning too far toward absolute control risks cutting Australia off from vital global collaboration and innovation. Conversely, a failure to invest in sovereign capability makes us passive recipients of other nations' priorities and values, embedded within the very technology we use. The goal is a model of digital sovereignty that enables Australia to shape its future without closing itself off from the world.
The table below contrasts the inherent tensions in this pursuit, highlighting the risks of imbalance.
Risks of Isolationist Control
Risks of Strategic Dependency
Potential for isolationism and technological stagnation.
Becoming a passive recipient of other nations' priorities and values.
Hindering valuable global research and commercial collaboration.
Losing control over how national values are represented in foundational models.
The following sections outline the core pillars of a national strategy designed to navigate these tensions and build a balanced, resilient, and prosperous sovereign AI capability.
A successful sovereign AI capability rests on five interconnected pillars: foundational infrastructure, a skilled workforce, a thriving public-private ecosystem, robust data governance, and deep integration with national security priorities. Each pillar is essential, and together they form a comprehensive strategy to secure Australia's digital future.
Sovereign technological infrastructure is the bedrock of sovereign AI. Without sufficient onshore High-Performance Computing and Data (HPCD) capabilities, Australia will remain dependent on other nations for the critical processing power required to train and deploy advanced AI models. This dependence hinders our ability to tailor AI tools to Australian-specific challenges and creates unacceptable risks for data security. A national priority must be the development of what the Lowy Institute has termed an "AussieCloud"—a comprehensive national digital infrastructure that integrates data centres and AI supercomputing labs. However, this digital backbone is inert without the world-class AI workforce detailed in Pillar 2 to build, operate, and innovate upon it.
The key components of this digital backbone include:
Advanced infrastructure is only as valuable as the people who can build with it. Australia faces a significant AI skills gap that threatens to undermine its sovereign ambitions. The government understands that the country will require as many as 161,000 new specialist AI workers within the next seven years, yet the Australian Institute for Machine Learning (AIML) has asserted that "there is currently no mechanism to achieve this." This talent pipeline will be the engine of our sovereign capability, but it can only thrive if provided with access to the cutting-edge sovereign compute and data infrastructure outlined in Pillar 1.
Drawing inspiration from the highly successful Canadian model, Australia should implement the following actions:
A robust sovereign AI capability cannot be built by the government alone. It requires a thriving ecosystem where small and medium-sized Australian tech companies can flourish on the foundation of our national infrastructure (Pillar 1) and powered by our domestic talent (Pillar 2). Currently, these companies face immense challenges, including intense competition from AI multinationals with deep pockets and systemic difficulties in accessing public sector procurement opportunities. To build a more resilient and innovative domestic market, two strategic shifts are required.
In the age of AI, data is the means of production. A truly sovereign AI model must be trained on data that accurately reflects the diversity and complexity of Australian society, securely housed within our national infrastructure (Pillar 1). Only then can we ensure these models are effective, equitable, and just. Ceding control of our sensitive personal and business data to global corporations is not merely a commercial transaction; it is a profound strategic risk that allows foreign entities to know more about us than we know about ourselves. Australia must therefore treat its data as a core national asset, governed by a framework that balances access for innovation within our domestic ecosystem (Pillar 3) with robust protection.
A principles-based approach to national data governance should be built on established international best practices:
Alongside these principles, technical solutions like data masking and tokenisation are crucial tools. They allow sensitive information to be protected by replacing it with fictitious or non-sensitive identifiers, enabling valuable analytics and AI model training to occur without compromising individual privacy.
The Department of Defence has identified AI as key to enhancing capability, strengthening deterrence, and achieving a "decision advantage" in line with the National Defence Strategy. Securing this advantage is contingent upon the preceding four pillars: it requires assured access to sovereign infrastructure, a trusted and vetted workforce, a resilient domestic industrial base, and secure control over national data. In an environment where Australia must seek military advantage in innovative ways, the responsible adoption of AI and autonomy offers a critical asymmetric edge in areas from logistics and intelligence to targeting and strike applications.
Specific Defence initiatives and commitments underscore AI's central role in national security:
This commitment to responsible use in the military domain reflects a broader societal need for an ethical framework that builds public trust in AI across all sectors.
Technological capability alone is insufficient. To secure a social license and earn public trust, Australia's sovereign AI must be built on a robust ethical foundation. Fortunately, Australia is well-positioned to lead in this domain, with its national AI Ethics Principles providing a clear and comprehensive framework for the responsible design, development, and deployment of AI systems. These principles must be championed as the national standard for both the public and private sectors.
Australia's eight AI Ethics Principles are:
Leading industry players are already demonstrating how these principles can be put into practice. The commitment by the newly launched Sovereign Australia AI to be an "ethics-driven" company by compensating Australian copyright holders for the data used to train its models is a powerful example of building ethical considerations into the core of a business model.
This ethical framework is not a barrier to innovation but an enabler of it, providing the foundation of trust upon which a thriving and accepted national AI ecosystem can be built.
Australia stands at a strategic crossroads. The choice before us is clear: we can either take decisive action to forge our own sovereign AI future, or we can resign ourselves to a future of dependency on foreign technological ecosystems, where our data, values, and national interests are secondary. The economic and national security stakes are too high for inaction. The time has come to move beyond discussion and implement a coherent, ambitious, and well-resourced national strategy.
This white paper proposes a path forward built on five interconnected pillars. To operationalise this vision, the following strategic actions must be prioritised.
By taking these decisive steps, Australia can secure its digital sovereignty and position itself as a global leader in the development, adoption, and governance of trusted, secure, and responsible artificial intelligence. The future is not something to be predicted, but something to be built. Let us begin.
The sources used in this conversation are:
1. AI SOVEREIGNTY & NATIONAL AI CAPABILITY – Tech Policy Design Institute
2. AI Sovereignty is Great, But Whose Value Exactly Are ... - Insight Jam
3. AI is driving the case for a fresh look at data sovereignty in Australia - Technology Decisions
4. Consultation to define AI sovereignty kicks off - techpartner.news
5. Implementing Australia's AI Ethics Principles: A selection of Responsible AI practices and resources - CSIRO
6. National AI capability for Australia A national strategy for the uptake of AI in the science sector
7. Redefining sovereignty in the age of AI: control and opportunity - UNSW Sydney
8. Select Committee on Adopting Artificial Intelligence
9. Sovereign AI model poised to become Australia's ChatGPT | Information Age | ACS
10. Supporting the development of sovereign capability in the Australian tech sector Submission 23 - Parliament of Australia
11. The public goods case for Australia's digital sovereignty | Lowy Institute